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2019/10/25 / Erste Group Research

Wochenausblick | US-Zinsphantasie sollte die Luft ausgehen

Nächste Woche wird es wohl zur nächsten Zinssenkung in den USA kommen. Die Entscheidung könnte aber knapp werden. Signale, dass der Zinssenkungszyklus zu einem Ende kommt, sollten sich verstärken.

Kommende Woche wird eine erste Schnellschätzung des Eurozone BIP-Wachstums im 3Q veröffentlicht. Basierend auf unseren Modellen rechnen wir mit einer Stabilisierung des BIP-Wachstums der Eurozone bei +0,2% q/q im 3Q. Die Eurozone befindet sich unverändert in einem zyklischen Abschwung der die Wachstumsdynamik unter das Potential drückt.

Aufgrund des anhaltenden Abwärtsdrucks bei den Energiepreisen rechnen wir bestenfalls mit einer Stabilisierung der Inflation der Eurozone im September bei rd. +0,8% j/j.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Product nameWochenausblick
Topic in focusMacro/ Fixed income
Economy in focusEurozone, United States
Currency in focusEuro, US Dollar
Sector in focus-


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