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2020/04/03 / Erste Group Research

Wochenausblick | Arbeitsmärkte vor historischer Herausforderung

In den bislang veröffentlichten Arbeitsmarktdaten für den Monat März großer Eurozone Länder sind die Spuren der Corona-Krise bereits sichtbar. Staatlichen Hilfsmaßnahmen kommt daher eine wesentliche Rolle zu, um den Arbeitsmarkt zu stützen. Als Beitrag zur Lösung des Problems hat die Europäische Kommission diese Woche die Auflage eines befristeten Fonds (kurz „SURE“ genannt) zur gemeinschaftlichen Förderung der Kurzarbeit angeregt.

In Österreich stieg die Zahl der als arbeitslos gemeldeten Personen auf rund 504.000 gegenüber 334.000 im Februar, was einem Anstieg von 51% entspricht. Während in der Finanzkrise 2008/09 die meisten Arbeitslosen aus der Industrie kamen, ist jetzt der Dienstleistungssektor am stärksten betroffen.

Die Erstanträge für Arbeitslosenunterstützung sind in den USA während der letzten beiden Wochen rasant gestiegen. Zuerst um über 3,3 Millionen dann 6,6 Millionen. Diese 10 Millionen entsprechen gut 6% der Beschäftigten. Die eigentliche Frage ist aber, wie schnell die Beschäftigung nach der Krise wieder steigen wird. Die Unsicherheit darüber ist groß und wird überwiegend davon abhängen, wann Eindämmungsmaßnahmen gelockert bzw. zurückgenommen werden können.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2020/04/03
Languagede
Product nameWochenausblick
Topic in focusMacro/ Fixed income
Economy in focusEurozone, United States
Currency in focusEuro, US Dollar
Sector in focus-
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